The upcoming US presidential elections have garnered significant attention due to the state of international developments that compel the United States to formulate strong foreign policies aligned with the new international order and the ongoing global conflict.
Meanwhile, China and Russia persist in their ascent within the international system, while the United States has been experiencing a decline, especially during the presidency of Joe Biden, who does not seem to meet the requirements of the current international stage.
Despite President Joe Biden’s insistence on running for a second term, he remains outside the realm of competition for several reasons. Firstly, his health has deteriorated amid increasing discussions about his mental state. Secondly, there is a high level of dissatisfaction within the United States regarding his policies.
Since his first year in office, his approval rating has remained low, with Gallup figures showing that overall approval for Biden has not exceeded 44% since August 2021.
This indicates that he has not succeeded in changing the domestic American perspective on his policies during his four years in office.
It seems that the American public has made up its mind early on. From the first year of Joe Biden’s presidency, it was clear that he was not the president who could bring about significant changes in the domestic American landscape, particularly concerning economic issues that directly impact the lives of American citizens.
Biden reinstated regulations that make it difficult to hire individuals and failed to curb inflation rates, resulting in a weakening of the US dollar and undermining retirement funds for Americans.
Democrats attempted to increase taxes dramatically, leading the American public to conclude that Biden was doing everything in his power to hinder the economy and maintain a state of pandemic recession.
Biden’s foreign policies were also not met with optimism by the political elite, who perceive him as aligning with China, weakening the United States’ chances of maintaining its position as a leader within the escalating international conflict, which the United States is striving to navigate while upholding its status within the international order gained since the fall of the Soviet Union.
On the other hand, former President Donald Trump has gained prominence and seen a rise in his prospects for the upcoming elections.
Since his loss in the second term, Trump’s star has risen significantly as the events that unfolded after Joe Biden’s victory provided him with an opportunity to boost his influence, capitalizing on Biden’s weaknesses.
Trump remains the strongest candidate within the Republican Party, and one can consider the state of confusion that Kevin McCarthy found himself in when he stated that he did not know whether Trump would be the strongest Republican candidate in the 2024 presidential elections.
However, McCarthy quickly retracted his statement to affirm that “Trump is stronger today than he was in 2016.” This confirms that Trump’s chances of securing the Republican Party’s nomination for the upcoming elections have been on the rise.
The next US presidential elections, scheduled for November 2024, remain a crucial milestone in the new international order. Either the United States will strive to formulate strong foreign policies that preserve its competitive opportunities in the global arena, or it will remain in the back seat of the new international order train.