Joint Military Exercises & reshaping the global order

Joint military exercises have emerged as one of the most prominent forms of military cooperation in the contemporary security landscape‭. ‬Over the past decade‭, ‬the frequency and scale of these exercises have increased markedly‭, ‬with an average of one major‭ ‬drill conducted approximately every nine days‭. ‬This dramatic rise has sparked debate about their implications for the international system‭. ‬While some argue these exercises provoke adversaries and heighten the risk of military conflict‭, ‬others contend that‭ ‬they serve as a deterrent‭, ‬reducing the likelihood of escalation and conflict‭.‬

Today’s global security architecture is characterised by complex‭, ‬interdependent networks in which nations exchange economic goods and defence-related services‭. ‬Within these networks‭, ‬defence institutions interact through two main channels‭: ‬conflict and cooperation‭. ‬The cooperative dimension—often described as‭ “‬defence diplomacy‭”‬—encompasses a wide spectrum of peaceful engagements‭, ‬including ministerial visits‭, ‬multilateral collaboration‭, ‬arms sales‭, ‬industrial partnerships‭, ‬and joint military exercises‭.‬

Joint military exercises involve the participation of two or more countries‭, ‬with objectives ranging from sharing tactical knowledge and improving weapons proficiency to preparing forces for various operational scenarios‭, ‬such as adverse terrain or extreme‭ ‬weather‭. ‬These drills typically focus on a specific mission—whether countering armed groups‭, ‬enhancing marksmanship‭, ‬or responding to weapons of mass destruction—while fostering interoperability and coordination among diverse units‭.‬

There are two primary categories of joint exercises‭:‬

•‭ ‬Command Post Exercises‭ (‬CPX‭): ‬Conducted at headquarters‭, ‬these simulations employ advanced computer systems and do not involve‭ ‬actual deployment of large-scale equipment such as tanks or fighter aircraft‭.‬

•‭ ‬Field Training Exercises‭ (‬FTX‭): ‬These involve real-time‭, ‬on-ground training using operational units and equipment to simulate live mission scenarios‭. ‬Participants may range from small detachments to full-scale military formations‭.‬

Training scenarios can be either combat-related‭, ‬such as NATO’s Cold War-era‭ ‬“Autumn Forge”‭ ‬and‭ ‬“Reforger”‭ ‬exercises‭, ‬or non-combat in nature‭, ‬addressing humanitarian crises‭, ‬natural disasters‭, ‬peacekeeping‭, ‬or law enforcement‭.‬

While joint exercises initially served to enhance traditional combat readiness—particularly during the Cold War—the evolution of warfare has expanded their scope‭. ‬Modern drills now often incorporate non-traditional missions such as counter‭-‬terrorism‭, ‬peacekeeping‭, ‬and humanitarian assistance‭, ‬falling under the umbrella of‭ “‬Military Operations Other Than War‭” (‬MOOTW‭)‬‭.‬

The past three decades have witnessed a significant increase in both the number and diversity of joint exercises‭. ‬Since 1990‭, ‬all global regions except South America have recorded a steady rise in these drills‭. ‬In 2016‭, ‬the number of joint exercises reached approximately 300—six times the total recorded in 1990‭. ‬The trend accelerated further following the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war‭, ‬culminating in a record number of joint drills in 2022‭. ‬Among the most prominent was‭ “‬Vostok 2022‭”, ‬a large-scale exercise led by Russia and China with participation from India‭, ‬Belarus‭, ‬and Tajikistan‭, ‬noted for its geographic scope and extensive troop involvement‭.‬

Four Key Metrics for Assessing Joint Military Exercises

Joint military exercises can be evaluated and categorised using four principal criteria‭:‬

1‭. ‬Complexity‭:‬‭ ‬Exercises involving multiple countries are inherently more complex than bilateral drills‭. ‬Complexity also rises when exercises‭ ‬focus on high-intensity warfare‭, ‬such as anti-submarine operations‭. ‬Moreover‭, ‬complexity levels vary depending on the operational readiness of participating countries‭. ‬For instance‭, ‬submarine warfare training is less complex for nations like the U.S‭., ‬Australia‭, ‬or Japan‭, ‬compared to Indonesia‭, ‬where military readiness is primarily focused on internal security‭.‬

2‭. ‬Sustainability‭:‬‭ ‬Sustainable exercises are those institutionalised over time and conducted at regular intervals‭. ‬They tend to have greater strategic value and reflect deeper levels of commitment and operational integration‭.‬

3‭. ‬Utility‭:‬‭ ‬This refers to the extent to which exercises address the actual security needs of participating nations‭. ‬Given varying operational capacities and strategic priorities‭, ‬each state derives different benefits‭, ‬balancing collective objectives with individual‭ ‬strategic goals‭.‬

4‭. ‬Diversity‭:‬‭ ‬The range of partners a nation trains with influences its strategic flexibility‭. ‬Smaller or medium-sized states often diversify‭ ‬their partners to avoid over-reliance on a limited set and to access a broader spectrum of training expertise‭.‬

Strategic Drivers Behind Joint Exercises

The proliferation of joint military exercises is not merely a response to rising global conflict‭. ‬Nor does it align with an increase in formal military alliances‭. ‬Instead‭, ‬nations are engaging in these drills for their multifaceted benefits‭, ‬ranging from tactical improvements to strategic signalling‭.‬

At the tactical level‭, ‬joint exercises enhance operational compatibility between armed forces‭, ‬ensuring smooth coordination in communications‭, ‬logistics‭, ‬and battlefield manoeuvres‭. ‬These engagements facilitate the adoption of new tactics and technologies‭,‬‭ ‬aligning different military doctrines for collective action‭.‬

At the strategic level‭, ‬exercises serve as tools of defence diplomacy‭. ‬They can reassure allies‭, ‬deter adversaries‭, ‬and signal commitment or defiance‭. ‬For example‭, ‬the joint U.S‭.-‬South Korea drills following North Korea’s intercontinental ballistic missile‭ ‬launch in February 2023‭ ‬were a clear signal of solidarity and readiness‭. ‬Similarly‭, ‬“Vostok 2022”‭ ‬sent a strong signal of alignment between Russia and China amidst international isolation following the Ukraine conflict‭.‬

Joint exercises can also be used to‭:‬

•‭ ‬Enhance military capacity‭, ‬as seen in the EU-Indonesia drills in the Arabian Sea‭, ‬to bolster anti-piracy operations‭.‬

•‭ ‬Develop operational experience in unique environments‭, ‬as demonstrated by Finland’s‭ ‬“Freezing Winds 2022”‭ ‬exercise‭, ‬conducted under harsh weather conditions‭.‬

•‭ ‬Promote trust and repair diplomatic ties‭, ‬exemplified by the‭ ‬“Falcon Strike”‭ ‬exercises between China and Thailand‭, ‬resumed in 2022‭ ‬after a pandemic-induced pause‭.‬

Additionally‭, ‬major powers often use joint drills to showcase and market their military hardware‭, ‬leveraging these platforms to‭ ‬expand arms sales and establish strategic partnerships‭.‬

Beyond Training‭: ‬A Foundation of Military Diplomacy

Joint exercises reflect a significant level of defence relationship maturity between participating states‭. ‬Such exercises require not only technical compatibility but also strategic alignment and mutual trust‭, ‬as nations expose sensitive military doctrines‭, ‬capabilities‭, ‬and tactical approaches during training‭. ‬Hence‭, ‬they are rarely the first step in a defence partnership‭. ‬Instead‭, ‬they typically follow defence cooperation agreements and a series of high-level visits and strategic consultations‭.‬

U.S‭.‬–China Rivalry and the Expanding Landscape of Joint Exercises

The United States remains the dominant global partner in joint military exercises‭, ‬particularly in the Asia-Pacific region‭. ‬Between 2003‭ ‬and 2022‭, ‬Washington participated in approximately 1,113‭ ‬joint exercises with 14‭ ‬regional states‭, ‬highlighting its entrenched role as a security provider‭. ‬However‭, ‬China has been steadily asserting itself as a credible alternative‭. ‬During the same‭ ‬period‭, ‬Beijing conducted around 130‭ ‬joint exercises in the region‭, ‬signalling its intent to rival U.S‭. ‬influence despite having fewer formalised defence partnerships‭.‬

There are notable distinctions in approach‭. ‬U.S‭.-‬led exercises tend to be more complex and focused on integrated warfare‭, ‬especially maritime and air operations‭. ‬Conversely‭, ‬China’s joint drills often prioritise land-based operations‭, ‬counter-terrorism‭, ‬humanitarian assistance‭, ‬and disaster relief‭. ‬These differences reflect divergent strategic priorities‭: ‬while the U.S‭. ‬uses joint‭ ‬training to reinforce leadership credibility and deter adversaries‭, ‬China aims to build trust with regional partners and expand‭ ‬its institutional military networks‭.‬

Both powers now serve as central nodes in the Asia-Pacific’s military exercise network‭, ‬leveraging their logistical capabilities‭ ‬to project influence‭. ‬The military adage‭ ‬“train where you may fight”‭ ‬encapsulates the strategic intent behind these exercises‭, ‬especially amid rising concerns over potential conflict scenarios involving China and the U.S‭. ‬in the region‭. ‬Western reports suggest that China’s growing operational tempo‭, ‬alongside accelerated military modernisation‭, ‬could erode America’s long-held superiority in the Asia-Pacific‭. ‬Despite current gaps in combat experience‭, ‬China’s emphasis on field exercises is intended to close that gap‭. ‬As Washington doubles down on its own training commitments‭, ‬Beijing‭ ‬is moving swiftly to consolidate regional military ties‭.‬

Joint Exercises as Instruments of Structural Change

Analysts have increasingly scrutinised the role of joint military exercises in influencing the international system’s architecture‭. ‬Some Western assessments warn that the surge in training activities could increase the risk of miscalculation and conflict—particularly in the absence of established alliances‭. ‬The 2008‭ ‬war in South Ossetia serves as a case in point‭. ‬Just one month after Georgia’s participation in the multinational‭ ‬“Sea Breeze”‭ ‬exercise‭, ‬which involved five NATO member states‭, ‬Georgian forces launched an operation in South Ossetia‭. ‬Perceived Western backing may have emboldened this decision‭, ‬contributing to the conflict with Russia‭.‬

On the other hand‭, ‬NATO’s Cold War-era REFORGER exercises‭, ‬conducted annually throughout the 1970s and 1980s‭, ‬did not result in escalation with the Warsaw Pact‭. ‬This contrast underscores a key point‭: ‬the escalatory potential of joint exercises is often tied to whether the participating states are part of an established military alliance‭.‬

Although joint exercises are inherently less explicit than formal defence treaties‭, ‬they serve as powerful signals of strategic‭ ‬alignment—particularly when major powers participate alongside smaller or mid-tier states‭. ‬These exercises are now a key dimension of what‭ ‬might be termed‭ “‬military diplomacy‭,” ‬used to project commitment and shape the security environment without necessarily invoking treaty obligations‭.‬

The Sino-Russian Convergence and Its Strategic Implications

China and Russia‭, ‬united in their opposition to a U.S‭.-‬dominated global order‭, ‬have significantly deepened their defence cooperation through joint exercises‭. ‬While such collaboration began under the auspices of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation in 2003‭, ‬it gained notable momentum after Russia annexed Crimea in 2014‭. ‬Although the COVID-19‭ ‬pandemic temporarily slowed this trend‭, ‬joint exercises have surged again since the onset of the Russia–Ukraine war‭.‬

Recent drills have grown in complexity and operational depth‭, ‬featuring joint command centres‭, ‬airborne deployments‭, ‬and the use‭ ‬of each other’s advanced military hardware‭. ‬These exercises now simulate regional conflict scenarios and reflect a high level of strategic trust and coordination‭, ‬potentially laying the groundwork for future joint operations aligned with shared geopolitical goals‭.‬

There is also a visible shift in the geographic focus of Sino-Russian exercises‭. ‬While earlier drills were more evenly distributed‭, ‬recent activities have increasingly taken place in East Asia—particularly in the East China Sea—while diminishing in European waters‭. ‬This change reflects the constraints on such exercises in Europe and a strategic pivot to‭ ‬areas of higher geopolitical tension‭.‬

The scope and location of these drills have expanded dramatically‭. ‬Exercises have been conducted near geopolitical flashpoints such as the South China Sea‭, ‬the Mediterranean‭, ‬and even the coasts of Alaska and Japan‭. ‬Notably‭, ‬in 2023‭, ‬Chinese and Russian naval vessels manoeuvred near Okinawa and Miyako at the very time a trilateral summit brought together leaders from the U.S‭., ‬Japan‭, ‬and South Korea—an unmistakable signal of defiance‭.‬

September 2024‭ ‬saw the launch of‭ ‬“Ocean 2024‭,‬”‭ ‬a major Russian-Chinese joint exercise that deepened Western anxiety‭. ‬This followed a series of similar exercises earlier that‭ ‬year‭, ‬including near Japan and off the Alaskan coast‭. ‬Analysts argue that these activities reflect a growing pattern of enhanced‭ ‬military coordination amid regional instability and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine‭. ‬As Russia’s influence wanes in certain regions‭, ‬China appears poised to fill the vacuum—expanding its military footprint and strengthening partnerships through joint training‭.‬

A New Global Military Architecture

Traditional military alliances were once the primary vehicle for reordering the global balance of power—especially during the Cold War‭. ‬However‭, ‬joint military exercises now appear to be emerging as a more flexible and less costly alternative‭. ‬Their adaptability aligns well with today’s rapidly evolving international system‭.‬

The surge in joint exercises coincides with increasing discourse about the need to restructure the global order‭. ‬These drills are not merely tools for preparedness—they are instruments for shaping the future‭. ‬By sending calibrated signals and building operational interoperability‭, ‬joint exercises are helping to recalibrate the balance of power‭.‬

In conclusion‭, ‬joint military exercises have become a core component of today’s international order‭. ‬They influence how states prepare for threats‭, ‬form partnerships‭, ‬and pursue strategic interests‭. ‬As military diplomacy continues to evolve‭, ‬joint exercises are likely to play an even more prominent role in the emerging global security framework—serving as a preferred mechanism of deterrence over traditional alliances or overt conflict‭. ‬Their accelerating pace suggests that their significance will only grow in the years ahead‭.‬

By‭: ‬Adnan Moussa
‭(‬Assistant Lecturer‭, ‬Faculty of Economics and Political Science‭ ‬–‭ ‬Cairo University‭)‬

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